| Valuing
Direct Mail
by Tim Smith, PhD, 9 June 2004
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Using direct mail to prospect for new business presents
a decision dilemma for salespeople and business marketers. On one
hand, it is an attractive approach of quickly contacting potential
customers to promote an offering. On the other hand, most businesses
have a poor track record in driving actions with direct mail. The
decision to use or not use direct mail is a quantitative issue.
Uncertainties
The decision dilemma derives from the uncertainties in using direct
mail. Three performance driven questions when considering direct
mail are: Will prospects open the letter? If they open it, will
they read it? If they read it, will they take action?
In response to these questions, many executives believe
that most direct mail is thrown away before it is opened; that if
it is opened, prospects never reads it; and if they read it, executives
never see a resulting action. With these experiences, executives
dismiss direct mail as an effective communication vehicle.
Their decision to dismiss direct mail is not always
correct. A portion of the recipients will open the letter, most
will read at least a part of it, and a few of them may even take
action. The issue is one of proportion.
Some businesses have had strong success. Consider
that consumer marketers expect standard response rates in the 1%
to 2% range when conducting direct mail. Elsewhere, business marketers
have had response rates in the 60% range for highly targeted lists.
The challenge is moving the success rate of direct mail from well
below the 1% level into a value generating level. The solution is
starting with a good list of prospects and following through with
a strong message.
Lists
The direct mail contact list must have individuals that are within
the target market and are in a position to take action on the information
in the letter. Highly targeted lists in business markets can contain
fewer than 20 businesses. Less targeted lists may have tens to hundreds
of thousands. Executives can expect that less targeted lists will
produce a smaller proportion of responses than highly targeted lists.
The size of the target market from which a response is desired and
can be expected limits the length of the list.
The contact list may be generated internally, purchased,
or developed over the course of the business. Developing contact
lists that have both a high proportion of contacts in the target
audience and valid contact details determines a majority of the
cost and time efficiency of direct mail.
One of the sources of value to direct mail and cold
calling is that the sales and marketing team can usually ensure
that a high proportion of the contacts are in the relevant audience
by reviewing the lists prior to sending mail or placing phone calls.
Reviewing the contact list requires examining each and every contact
name and address to ensure that they are valid and appropriate.
It is a laborious effort, but considering that each letter sent
has an expense associated with it, and the investment in each contact
will increase if the letter is to be followed-up by another action,
reviewing the contact list prior to sending the first mailer is
a wise investment of time and money.
Invalid contact details force a high proportion of
returned mail. This drives up the cost without adding value to the
activity. Lists contain invalid contact details because the information
was never accurately captured to begin with or the information became
dated. On average, 1% to 2% of any contact list becomes invalid
each month as people change positions. This implies that a list
that was generated in 2003 will contain between 10% and 20% of invalid
contacts simply due to changes in employment. Rented and purchased
lists from publication subscriptions and other sources often suffer
from invalid contacts in the 20% range.
Message
Most people will read the first line of any letter prior to depositing
it into the circular file. That is all the space sales and marketing
teams have to capture the attention of their market. Stuck in the
world of one liners, sales and marketing teams need to think in
terms of headlines when drafting the letter. Headlines capture people’s
attention. In drafting headlines, benefits and higher level values
are more likely to entice recipients into reading the rest of letter
than features or statements of welcome.
Tell people which problem you solve. Statements about
corporate history, features, and interest in doing business with
the recipient are unlikely to garner attention. Problems overcome
and challenges addressed will capture their attention. People will
not devote their time to read to the entire value proposition, but
they will be willing to learn that the offering solves a problem.
Communicating with a challenge-solution message appropriately
addresses this issue. The challenge-solution message takes the form
of “For customers in THE CHOSEN TARGET MARKET who have THE
CHOSEN CHALLENGE, OUR BUSINESS has the best SOLUTION VALUE OFFERING
because of STATED DIFFERENTIATING OR MARKET CONCERN FACTOR.”
The challenge-solution message has all the necessary elements for
generating an appropriate response. It tells people that the letter
was directed specifically at them if they are in the target market.
It tells people that their goals can be met if they are facing the
challenge selected. It states that your business will help them
reach their goals. And, it gives them a reason to believe that your
business’s solution can actually deliver the results they
are seeking.
Value
Investing in direct mail as a communication vehicle requires that
the response rates and resulting action produce sufficient sales
to overcome the cost of the mailing. When this condition is satisfied,
executives rationally expend monies to execute direct mail. Quantifying
the value of any direct mail campaign depends greatly upon the number
of responses created. The number of letters distributed to the target
market and their response rate determines the number of responses.
Before sending the direct mail, the value of direct
mail can be predicted based upon estimates:
Direct Mail Value =
(List size – Estimated Invalid Contact
Details) X Percent in the Target Audience X
Percent Response from Target Market X
Value of Generating a Response
The list size less estimated invalid contacts determines
the size of the audience that will be reached with direct mail.
The percent in the target audience is an estimate of the overlap
of the direct mail list with the target market. In well designed
direct mail lists, this may reach 100%. The percent response from
the target audience can be estimated by either using the standard
of 1% to 2% or based upon the track record that the salesperson
or marketer has had with direct mail. As to estimating the value
of generating a response, sales and marketing teams can consider
the costs of using other means to generate a similar response and
use that as a standard.
The costs of direct mail contain the cost of drafting
the copy, formatting the letter, printing and letter head, and finally
postage. Drafting and formatting are fixed costs in this equation
while printing and postage are variable.
If the estimated value of direct mail is larger than
the expected costs, investing in direct mail can be expected to
deliver value. After conducting a direct mail campaign, the value
of the campaign is easily determined by the product of the number
of responses generated and the value of each response.
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For more on using direct mail, See
Full Contact Sport of Creating Business Customers.
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Author
Tim Smith, PhD is Editor of The Wiglaf Journal, Principal of Wiglaf
LLC, and Adjunct Professor at DePaul Graduate School of Business.
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