2005:
The Pricing Year in Review
by Jon Manning, December 2005
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As the New Year approaches, and “slow news days”
become more common, it is customary for journalists and broadcasters
to do their annual review of the year that has (almost) concluded.
“No point re-inventing the wheel or breaking with tradition”
I thought to myself when Tim Smith asked if I’d be interesting
in contributing a pricing story for the December edition of the
Wiglaf Journal.
So here it is: “2005: The Pricing Year in Review”
– some of the developments and milestones
from the world of pricing (both good and bad) that caught my attention
over the last 12 months.
The most important pricing concept to emerge in the
last year has been that of The Long Tail, the title
of an article written by Chris Anderson, Editor-in-Chief of Wired
Magazine . It is a powerful article on the importance of focusing
on the thousands of niche products that a company sells infrequently
(and their price!), rather than the one or two blockbuster products
that sell in large volumes, often for a short period of time.
Much of the discussion about The Long Tail to date
has revolved around the ability of the internet to aggregate inventory
without the limitation of shelf space, and how this facilitates
a shift from a mass market to a niche market approach. It has many
implications for the world of pricing, such as challenging the use
of ‘average pricing’ and Vilfredo Paretos’ 80:20
rule.
But The Long Tail doesn’t only apply to e-Commerce.
Just ask Barry Schwartz who, in his 2004 book The Paradox of Choice:
Why More is Less, found 175 varieties of salad dressing, 275 varieties
of breakfast cereal and 360 types of shampoo, conditioner and mousse
in his local supermarket. Coca-Cola started as a one brand company:
it now has around 400. The Long Tail applies equally in cyber space
as it does to shelf space.
In Australia, the low-fares airline Virgin Blue provided
one of the best examples that pricing is transferable.
During the year, it took the humble pub happy hour and put it on
their website, selling $1 airfares to mystery destinations between
12:00 – 13:00hrs.
And of course Reed Hastings is a man that understands
both the transferability of pricing and the concept of The Long
Tail. Getting stung $40 in overdue fees, he wondered why the DVD
rental business didn’t operate like health clubs, offering
all-you-can-eat for a fixed price per month. Netflix has an inventory
of around 25,000 titles, compared to 3,000 in a typical Blockbuster
store. And while this David of a business still competes against
Blockbuster, it did, during 2005 defeat a Goliath, in the form of
Wal-Mart.
Unfortunately, pricing disasters
are still occurring from time to time. The famous philosopher, Anon,
once said that “Making mistakes isn’t stupid. Ignoring
them is”. Fifteen per cent of gas stations in the US learned
the hard way during 2005: when gas prices hit $3 a gallon following
Hurricane Katrina, they discovered that their bowsers could neither
display prices above $3 a gallon, nor could they charge more than
$99.99 for the total purchase. Thirty years earlier the same problem
had occurred: in the 1970’s, when prices hit $1 a gallon,
it was discovered bowsers could only display a maximum price of
$0.99 a gallon.
But perhaps the best [sic] pricing disaster that caught
my attention over the last year involved Argos (a UK catalogue &
High Street retailer). Over the August Bank Holiday long weekend,
Argos advertised a TV and DVD player for £0.49 instead of
£350. The company website took 10,000 orders, thousands of
which had money deducted from their bank account, an error that
would have cost them almost £3.5mill if honoured.
Like pricing disasters, price wars don’t seem
to go away either. Price War of the Year would
have to go to the US automobile manufacturers, Ford, General Motors
& Chrysler, who over the northern summer, offered anyone employee
discounts. What do these companies do next? I suspect we haven’t
heard the last of this price war, as the business schools start
writing their case studies on the topic.
Merger & Acquisition (M&A) activity increased
in most parts of the world during 2005, and post-M&A
pricing opportunities became an increasingly important
area of work for the pricing professional. Symantec, who recently
merged with Veritas, admitted during the year that it would take
at least a year before the company could really see any post-merger
pricing synergies. One company predominantly uses single user and
site user pricing models, and the other tends to use CPU-based pricing
models. The motto of the story is that a pricing evaluation has
to become an essential component of a M&A due diligence process.
And finally, for those of you who may indulge in a
game of Trivial Pursuit over the holiday season, a couple of useless
bits of pricing trivia for you:
- Dell Computers can see a change in customer behaviour
literally within minutes of changing prices on their website,
and;
- The ink for a HP colour printed is, by volume,
more expensive than Vintage 1985 Dom Perignon.
Is you organisation a Long Tail company? Do you use
average pricing, or the 80:20 rule excessively? Are there pricing
models you can transfer from another industry or company to your
own? Do you have a flexible pricing system, and quality and integrity
control procedures around the distribution of your prices. Do you
have a strategy to fight a price war if one broke out in your industry?
Have you done your pricing due-diligence on that company your thinking
of taking over? Why not make it your 2006 New Year’s resolutions
to seek answers to these questions?
_______
References
Links to The Long Tail
(The articles was originally published in 2004, but matured and
came to real prominence in 2005)
http://www.wired.com/wired/archive/12.10/tail.html
http://longtail.typepad.com/the_long_tail/
Link to Symantec & Veritas story
http://software.silicon.com/applications/0,39024653,39151023,00.htm
Link to Argos Story
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/4204002.stm
_______
Author
Jon Manning is the founder and principal consultant of Sans Prix
Pty Ltd, an independent Strategic Pricing Consultancy based in Melbourne,
Australia. The company specialises in price benchmarking studies,
pricing strategies for new products/start-up companies, education
and training in pricing, the establishment of new/auditing of existing
pricing departments and pricing methodology evaluation/change management,
services which have been provided to companies in Australia, Europe,
Asia and the USA.
Increasingly in demand as both a speaker and educator,
Jon is a frequent speaker at pricing conferences and educational
institutions across the Asia-Pacific region, and is the author of
articles that have appeared in the Journal of Professional Pricing,
the Journal of Revenue & Pricing Management and The Pricing
Advisor.
Contact: jon@sansprix.com.au,
+61 405 629-141
Website: www.sansprix.com.au,
www.sansprix.blogspot.com
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